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Martin is mining the chocolate mines of happiness again. #ilovemywife
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Here are my predictions for how the D’Hondt method will allocate seats in the European election in the East of England in 2014.
The number of seats allocated is the share of the vote divided by the D’Hondt quota rounded down to the nearest whole number.
Predicted D’Hondt quota 9.3%
Predicted Votes in 2014, Swing from 2009 and Seats
|Party||Votes in 2014
||Swing from 2009||Seats|
|Conservative||Less than 27.9%||More -ve than -3.3%||2|
|UKIP||More than 27.9%||More +ve than +8.3%||3|
|Liberal Democrat||Close to 9.3%||Close to -4.5%||0 or 1|
|Labour||Close to 18.6%||Close to +8.1%||1 or 2|
|Green||Less than 9.3%||Less +ve than +0.5%||0|
The 1st Liberal Democrat or 2nd Labour seat will set the D’Hondt quota.